The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Royal Never Give Uploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Tinysignature
XinQ · 19 games
Death Prophetsignature
Faith_bian · 16 games
Razorsignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
Pangoliersignature
NothingToSay · 14 games
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 12 games
Dazzlesignature
y` · 11 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Ame · 11 games
Warlocksignature
y` · 11 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
511 picks · 396 bans
Marci
454 picks · 690 bans
Death Prophet
303 picks · 466 bans
Puck
286 picks · 698 bans
Undying
282 picks · 482 bans
Dawnbreaker
278 picks · 396 bans
Batrider
253 picks · 868 bans
Enigma
252 picks · 823 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 48%
Hero pool strength63% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head7 – 1
Model total75% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:9
LGD Gaming 75%Royal Never Give Up 25%
The model gave 75% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 27:52.
Game 2prediction correct
LGD Gaming 75%Royal Never Give Up 25%
The model gave 75% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 75%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2