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The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
Evil Geniuseswin 2:0
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Evil Geniuses

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Oscar · 11 games
55%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Wij · 10 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Wij · 9 games
56%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Oscar · 9 games
67%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Berna · 8 games
63%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Prada · 8 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Oscar · 8 games
38%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Berna · 8 games
50%

BETBOOM TEAM

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 9 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
38%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
14%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
511 picks · 396 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
454 picks · 690 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
303 picks · 466 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
286 picks · 698 bans
57%
Undying
Undying
282 picks · 482 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
278 picks · 396 bans
47%
Batrider
Batrider
253 picks · 868 bans
51%
Enigma
Enigma
252 picks · 823 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 65%
Hero pool strength54% Evil Geniuses
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total54% Evil Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:35
Evil Geniuses 54%BETBOOM TEAM 46%
The model gave 54% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:09.
Game 2prediction missed4:11
Evil Geniuses 54%BETBOOM TEAM 46%
The model gave 54% on Evil Geniuses — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 17:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteEvil Geniuses · 54%
Series resultEvil Geniuses 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2