The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Gaimin Gladiators
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 26 games
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 20 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
tOfu · 20 games
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 18 games
Tiny
BOOM · 17 games
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 16 games
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 16 games
Iosignature
Seleri · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
511 picks · 394 bans
Marci
449 picks · 689 bans
Death Prophet
302 picks · 466 bans
Puck
288 picks · 696 bans
Dawnbreaker
278 picks · 399 bans
Undying
276 picks · 483 bans
Batrider
252 picks · 861 bans
Chen
250 picks · 513 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 44%
Hero pool strength56% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:33
Royal Never Give Up 63%Gaimin Gladiators 37%
The model gave 63% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 38:38.
Game 2prediction missed33:15
Royal Never Give Up 63%Gaimin Gladiators 37%
The model gave 63% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 39:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 63%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2