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The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 32 games
66%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 22 games
55%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 18 games
56%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Yopaj · 17 games
59%
Rubick
Rubick
Tims · 16 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 13 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 13 games
62%

BETBOOM TEAM

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 9 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
38%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
14%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
511 picks · 394 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
449 picks · 688 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
302 picks · 465 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
288 picks · 696 bans
57%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
278 picks · 399 bans
46%
Undying
Undying
275 picks · 483 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
252 picks · 860 bans
51%
Chen
Chen
250 picks · 513 bans
62%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 67%
Hero pool strength57% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:14
BOOM Esports 43%BETBOOM TEAM 57%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 54:18.
Game 2prediction correct13:32
BOOM Esports 43%BETBOOM TEAM 57%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2