The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Asterloss 1:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Entityloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Aster
Tinysignature
BoBoKa · 32 games
Pucksignature
Ori · 21 game
Dazzlesignature
Fantasy · 19 games
Brewmastersignature
Xxs · 16 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Fantasy · 16 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Monet · 12 games
Enigmasignature
Xxs · 11 games
Razorsignature
Ori · 11 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
506 picks · 389 bans
Marci
443 picks · 678 bans
Death Prophet
301 picks · 462 bans
Puck
286 picks · 691 bans
Dawnbreaker
276 picks · 398 bans
Undying
270 picks · 477 bans
Batrider
248 picks · 855 bans
Chen
248 picks · 512 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 58%
Hero pool strength61% Team Aster
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total60% Team Aster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:25
Team Aster 60%Entity 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Entity in 45:11.
Game 2prediction correct23:7
Team Aster 60%Entity 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 29:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aster · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2