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The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 31 game
65%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 22 games
55%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Yopaj · 17 games
59%
Rubick
Rubick
Tims · 16 games
44%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 16 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 13 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 13 games
62%

Gaimin Gladiators

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 25 games
64%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
tOfu · 20 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 19 games
63%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 18 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
BOOM · 17 games
59%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 16 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 15 games
93%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
502 picks · 389 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
440 picks · 675 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
299 picks · 462 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
286 picks · 690 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
276 picks · 398 bans
46%
Undying
Undying
267 picks · 476 bans
56%
Chen
Chen
248 picks · 510 bans
63%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
247 picks · 333 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 47%
Hero pool strength52% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:30
BOOM Esports 51%Gaimin Gladiators 49%
The model gave 51% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 32:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinJaCkky
40% · 157 games50% · 79 games
Shadow Fienddyrachyo
Shadow Fiend
Batrider
BatriderYopaj
52% · 154 games49% · 217 games
BeastmasterAce
Beastmaster
Enigma
EnigmaFbz
56% · 203 games56% · 246 games
PangolierBOOM
Pangolier
Tiny
TinyTims
49% · 454 games46% · 198 games
RubicktOfu
Rubick
Lich
LichSkem
45% · 55 games53% · 283 games
MarciSeleri
Marci
Game 2prediction missed31:6
BOOM Esports 48%Gaimin Gladiators 52%
The model gave 52% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 29:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pudge
PudgeJaCkky
49% · 66 games56% · 175 games
Faceless Voiddyrachyo
Faceless Void
Tiny
TinyYopaj
47% · 448 games51% · 272 games
Storm SpiritBOOM
Storm Spirit
Mars
MarsFbz
46% · 292 games58% · 83 games
BrewmasterAce
Brewmaster
Hoodwink
HoodwinkTims
45% · 147 games55% · 315 games
MarcitOfu
Marci
Undying
UndyingSkem
50% · 149 games46% · 257 games
EnchantressSeleri
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 50%
Accuracy by game0 of 2