The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Gaimin Gladiators
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 23 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
tOfu · 20 games
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 18 games
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 18 games
Tiny
BOOM · 17 games
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 16 games
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 15 games
Iosignature
Seleri · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
502 picks · 394 bans
Marci
438 picks · 672 bans
Death Prophet
298 picks · 465 bans
Puck
289 picks · 698 bans
Dawnbreaker
284 picks · 397 bans
Undying
261 picks · 469 bans
Winter Wyvern
253 picks · 332 bans
Batrider
249 picks · 850 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:35
Hokori 51%Gaimin Gladiators 49%
The model gave 51% on Hokori — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 37:30.
Game 2prediction missed54:12
Hokori 51%Gaimin Gladiators 49%
The model gave 51% on Hokori — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 44:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 51%
Accuracy by game0 of 2