?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2022: Last Chance · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Wildcard Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Bane
Bane
Prada · 8 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Mariano · 8 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 7 games
43%
Rubick
Rubick
Genek · 7 games
57%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Mariano · 6 games
17%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
20%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Prada · 5 games
20%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Genek · 5 games
60%

Wildcard Gaming

Snapfire
Snapfire
The Warden · 20 games
25%
Tiny
Tinysignature
The Warden · 15 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 13 games
38%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
iAnnihilate · 12 games
42%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
iAnnihilate · 12 games
33%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Ark · 11 games
64%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
The Warden · 11 games
64%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Sunlight · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
550 picks · 425 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
457 picks · 669 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
332 picks · 753 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
329 picks · 452 bans
44%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
299 picks · 493 bans
49%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
291 picks · 361 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
258 picks · 838 bans
53%
Dazzle
Dazzle
251 picks · 160 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 39%
Hero pool strength53% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total50% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:32
Infamous 50%Wildcard Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 44:14.
Game 2prediction correct22:17
Infamous 50%Wildcard Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 44:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 50%
Accuracy by game2 of 2