The International 2022: Last Chance · BO2
result vs prediction
T1loss 1:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Infamousloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Bane
Prada · 8 games
Marsoften banned
Mariano · 8 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 7 games
Rubick
Genek · 7 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Mariano · 6 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Prada · 5 games
Hoodwink
Genek · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
553 picks · 430 bans
Marci
456 picks · 650 bans
Dawnbreaker
341 picks · 459 bans
Puck
338 picks · 763 bans
Death Prophet
296 picks · 494 bans
Winter Wyvern
293 picks · 370 bans
Batrider
254 picks · 824 bans
Dazzle
251 picks · 160 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 53%
Hero pool strength55% T1
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct48:31
T1 48%Infamous 52%
The model gave 52% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 52:59.
Game 2prediction correct41:33
T1 48%Infamous 52%
The model gave 52% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 44:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 52%
Accuracy by game2 of 2