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BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangersloss 0:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Virtus.prowin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 23 games
57%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 19 games
68%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 17 games
71%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Immersion · 17 games
59%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
nicky`cool · 16 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 14 games
57%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 13 games
62%

Virtus.pro

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Fly · 37 games
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 25 games
48%
Warlock
Warlock
Fly · 24 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SabeRLight- · 22 games
45%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Hellscream · 18 games
33%
Puck
Pucksignature
Abed · 17 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Abed · 16 games
38%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
SabeRLight- · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
677 picks · 844 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
418 picks · 1140 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 688 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
396 picks · 621 bans
48%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 37%
Hero pool strength56% Power Rangers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Power Rangers 55%Virtus.pro 45%
The model gave 55% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Virtus.pro.
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 55%
Series resultVirtus.pro 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1