BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
chandogswin 1:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PKPandora Krisloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
chandogs
Gyrocopteroften banned
Argius · 2 games
Luna
Argius · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
mini-` · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
mini-` · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 1 game
Juggernautoften banned
Argius · 1 game
Kunkka
mini-` · 1 game
Leshrac
mini-` · 1 game
Pandora Kris
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
677 picks · 844 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
418 picks · 1140 bans
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 688 bans
Mars
396 picks · 621 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 33%
Hero pool strength58% Pandora Kris
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% chandogs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
chandogs 56%Pandora Kris 44%
The model gave 56% on chandogs — the game was taken by chandogs.
Model check result
Model favoritechandogs · 56%
Series resultchandogs 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1