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BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO5
result vs prediction
5RATFORCESTAFFwin 3:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 3:2
SG e-sportsloss 2:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

5RATFORCESTAFF

Jakiro
Jakiro
albinozebra · 18 games
56%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 13 games
46%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 10 games
70%
Tiny
Tiny
Giant · 8 games
25%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
43%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
albinozebra · 6 games
83%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
albinozebra · 6 games
33%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Speeed · 6 games
100%

SG e-sports

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
558 picks · 430 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
455 picks · 635 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
342 picks · 462 bans
45%
Puck
Puck
339 picks · 760 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
297 picks · 493 bans
49%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
293 picks · 370 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
253 picks · 809 bans
53%
Dazzle
Dazzle
251 picks · 160 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total61% SG e-sports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:31
5RATFORCESTAFF 39%SG e-sports 61%
The model gave 61% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by SG e-sports in 49:58.
Game 2prediction missed52:21
5RATFORCESTAFF 39%SG e-sports 61%
The model gave 61% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 45:04.
Game 3prediction correct26:44
5RATFORCESTAFF 39%SG e-sports 61%
The model gave 61% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by SG e-sports in 53:12.
Game 4prediction missed55:28
5RATFORCESTAFF 39%SG e-sports 61%
The model gave 61% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 1:04:55.
Game 5prediction missed35:14
5RATFORCESTAFF 39%SG e-sports 61%
The model gave 61% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 32:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteSG e-sports · 61%
Series result5RATFORCESTAFF 3:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 5