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BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Execrationloss 0:2
series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
RR · 16 games
38%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Tino- · 16 games
75%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Shanks · 15 games
67%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 12 games
58%
Mars
Marssignature
Tino- · 10 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Tino- · 9 games
56%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Palos · 8 games
75%
Razor
Razorsignature
Tino- · 8 games
63%

BOOM Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 27 games
63%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 19 games
53%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Yopaj · 17 games
59%
Rubick
Rubick
Tims · 16 games
44%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 16 games
56%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
JaCkky · 14 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 14 games
71%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
582 picks · 441 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
457 picks · 651 bans
52%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
360 picks · 483 bans
44%
Puck
Puck
345 picks · 780 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
300 picks · 494 bans
49%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
300 picks · 382 bans
55%
Dazzle
Dazzle
253 picks · 161 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
252 picks · 821 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 51%
Hero pool strength51% Execration
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total86% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:46
Execration 31%BOOM Esports 69%
The model gave 69% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 50:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingPalos
49% · 151 game43% · 58 games
LeshracJaCkky
Leshrac
Visage
VisageTino-
56% · 54 games50% · 130 games
Queen of PainYopaj
Queen of Pain
Batrider
BatriderBob
58% · 96 games45% · 91 game
TidehunterFbz
Tidehunter
Earthshaker
EarthshakerShanks
53% · 58 games49% · 45 games
Dark WillowTims
Dark Willow
42% · 35 games
OmniknightSkem
Omniknight
Game 2prediction correct6:41
Execration 31%BOOM Esports 69%
The model gave 69% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 28:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkPalos
63% · 26 games37% · 121 game
Phantom AssassinJaCkky
Phantom Assassin
Beastmaster
BeastmasterTino-
51% · 147 games46% · 111 games
Night StalkerFbz
Night Stalker
Puck
PuckBob
57% · 193 games54% · 21 game
Primal BeastYopaj
Primal Beast
Snapfire
SnapfireShanks
44% · 160 games51% · 162 games
Winter WyvernTims
Winter Wyvern
54% · 111 games
UndyingSkem
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 86%
Series resultBOOM Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2