BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Ravensloss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wolf Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ravens
Tinysignature
d1smar · 13 games
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 12 games
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 8 games
Doomsignature
d1smar · 7 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
DaaD- · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
Cara · 5 games
Invokeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 5 games
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
583 picks · 442 bans
Marci
459 picks · 650 bans
Dawnbreaker
359 picks · 484 bans
Puck
345 picks · 784 bans
Death Prophet
300 picks · 494 bans
Winter Wyvern
300 picks · 383 bans
Dazzle
252 picks · 161 bans
Batrider
251 picks · 822 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength61% Ravens
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total59% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:25
Ravens 59%Wolf Team 41%
The model gave 59% on Ravens — the game was taken by Wolf Team in 29:09.
Game 2prediction missed20:44
Ravens 59%Wolf Team 41%
The model gave 59% on Ravens — the game was taken by Wolf Team in 34:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 59%
Series resultWolf Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2