BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Ravensloss 0:2series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 0:2
5RATFORCESTAFFwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ravens
Tinysignature
d1smar · 12 games
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 10 games
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 8 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
DaaD- · 7 games
Doomsignature
d1smar · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
Cara · 5 games
Invokeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 5 games
5RATFORCESTAFF
Jakiro
albinozebra · 16 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 13 games
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 9 games
Tiny
Giant · 8 games
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
Abaddonsignature
albinozebra · 6 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Lil_Nick · 6 games
Alchemistoften banned
Speeed · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
589 picks · 446 bans
Marci
459 picks · 661 bans
Dawnbreaker
364 picks · 493 bans
Puck
349 picks · 797 bans
Winter Wyvern
307 picks · 388 bans
Death Prophet
303 picks · 490 bans
Dazzle
255 picks · 162 bans
Zeus
254 picks · 341 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 39%
Hero pool strength64% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:28
Ravens 63%5RATFORCESTAFF 37%
The model gave 63% on Ravens — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 34:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SvenDaaD-
Medusadnm
KunkkaÑengoflow KELOKE
Primal BeastSpeeed
VisageBenjaz
Jakiroalbinozebra
Doomd1smar
DisruptorCara
Game 2prediction missed12:27
Ravens 65%5RATFORCESTAFF 35%
The model gave 65% on Ravens — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 33:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SlarkDaaD-
Naga Sirendnm
Queen of PainÑengoflow KELOKE
AxeSpeeed
VisageBenjaz
Silenceralbinozebra
JakiroCara
Tinyd1smar
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 73%
Series result5RATFORCESTAFF 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2