BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionPKPandora Kriswin 1:0
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 1:0
MODUSloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Pandora Kris
No games played over 6 months.
MODUS
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
677 picks · 844 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1140 bans
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 688 bans
Mars
395 picks · 621 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Pandora Kris
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% MODUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:20
Pandora Kris 26%MODUS 74%
The model gave 74% on MODUS — the game was taken by Pandora Kris in 45:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteMODUS · 74%
Series resultPandora Kris 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1