BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 0:2series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Execrationwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Execration
Death Prophetoften banned
RR · 16 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Tino- · 16 games
Miranasignature
Shanks · 15 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 13 games
Marssignature
Tino- · 10 games
Earth Spirit
Tino- · 9 games
Kunkkasignature
Palos · 8 games
Razoroften banned
Tino- · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
595 picks · 452 bans
Marci
459 picks · 665 bans
Dawnbreaker
369 picks · 504 bans
Puck
353 picks · 805 bans
Winter Wyvern
309 picks · 390 bans
Death Prophet
304 picks · 484 bans
Dazzle
256 picks · 163 bans
Zeus
255 picks · 344 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% Execration
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total82% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:18
Fnatic 82%Execration 18%
The model gave 82% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Execration in 35:30.
Game 2prediction missed27:39
Fnatic 82%Execration 18%
The model gave 82% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Execration in 39:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 82%
Series resultExecration 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2