BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Team DogChampwin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Runesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team DogChamp
Banesignature
Bloody Nine · 15 games
Tinysignature
yarintheslayer · 13 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 12 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Bloody Nine · 8 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Marcisignature
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Medusaoften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
No Runes
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
597 picks · 453 bans
Marci
460 picks · 666 bans
Dawnbreaker
370 picks · 505 bans
Puck
355 picks · 808 bans
Winter Wyvern
309 picks · 390 bans
Death Prophet
307 picks · 485 bans
Dazzle
256 picks · 163 bans
Zeus
255 picks · 344 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team DogChamp 62%No Runes 38%
The model gave 62% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp.
Game 2prediction correct
Team DogChamp 62%No Runes 38%
The model gave 62% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 62%
Series resultTeam DogChamp 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2