BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:1series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TNC Predatorloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
TNC Predator
Pangoliersignature
xiaoyu154 · 16 games
Enchantressoften banned
cml · 14 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 12 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Bok · 11 games
Marcioften banned
xiaoyu154 · 11 games
Puckoften banned
xsilearn · 11 games
Warlocksignature
Roddgeee · 11 games
Batrideroften banned
xsilearn · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
603 picks · 457 bans
Marci
460 picks · 664 bans
Dawnbreaker
374 picks · 524 bans
Puck
363 picks · 820 bans
Winter Wyvern
313 picks · 397 bans
Death Prophet
303 picks · 486 bans
Zeus
261 picks · 346 bans
Dazzle
259 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 32%
Hero pool strength53% TNC Predator
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total74% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:10
Hokori 74%TNC Predator 26%
The model gave 74% on Hokori — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 30:47.
Game 2prediction missed44:24
Hokori 74%TNC Predator 26%
The model gave 74% on Hokori — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 49:59.
Game 3prediction missed33:49
Hokori 74%TNC Predator 26%
The model gave 74% on Hokori — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 1:06:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 74%
Series resultHokori 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3