BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Ravensloss 1:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:1
No Runesloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ravens
Tinysignature
d1smar · 12 games
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 10 games
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 8 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
DaaD- · 7 games
Doomsignature
d1smar · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
Cara · 5 games
Invokeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 5 games
No Runes
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
609 picks · 460 bans
Marci
463 picks · 669 bans
Dawnbreaker
375 picks · 530 bans
Puck
368 picks · 822 bans
Winter Wyvern
314 picks · 397 bans
Death Prophet
304 picks · 488 bans
Zeus
262 picks · 349 bans
Dazzle
259 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 36%
Hero pool strength62% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total61% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Ravens 61%No Runes 39%
The model gave 61% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens.
Game 2prediction missed
Ravens 61%No Runes 39%
The model gave 61% on Ravens — the game was taken by No Runes.
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 61%
Accuracy by game1 of 2