BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team DogChamploss 1:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Wolf Teamloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team DogChamp
Banesignature
Bloody Nine · 15 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 12 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
Tinysignature
yarintheslayer · 12 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Crystal Maiden
Bloody Nine · 7 games
Marcisignature
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Medusaoften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
609 picks · 460 bans
Marci
462 picks · 669 bans
Dawnbreaker
376 picks · 531 bans
Puck
368 picks · 823 bans
Winter Wyvern
315 picks · 397 bans
Death Prophet
304 picks · 488 bans
Zeus
262 picks · 348 bans
Dazzle
259 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 42%
Hero pool strength53% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:50
Team DogChamp 52%Wolf Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Wolf Team in 44:45.
Game 2prediction correct35:26
Team DogChamp 52%Wolf Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 25:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2