BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Feltwin 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
5ManMidasloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Felt
Tiny
solji · 10 games
Weaveroften banned
Zore · 10 games
Death Prophetsignature
solji · 8 games
Batrideroften banned
Fayde · 6 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Zore · 6 games
Rubick
AfrOmoush · 5 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
solji · 5 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
paradise' · 5 games
5ManMidas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
609 picks · 459 bans
Marci
461 picks · 668 bans
Dawnbreaker
376 picks · 531 bans
Puck
368 picks · 822 bans
Winter Wyvern
315 picks · 397 bans
Death Prophet
304 picks · 487 bans
Zeus
262 picks · 347 bans
Dazzle
259 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 25%
Hero pool strength57% 5ManMidas
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total66% Felt
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:14
Felt 66%5ManMidas 34%
The model gave 66% on Felt — the game was taken by Felt in 25:39.
Game 2prediction correct41:14
Felt 66%5ManMidas 34%
The model gave 66% on Felt — the game was taken by Felt in 19:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteFelt · 66%
Series resultFelt 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2