Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zorka Gamingloss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
EZ KATKAwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zorka Gaming
Tiny
OneJey · 10 games
Crystal Maiden
Arti_Shock · 7 games
Linasignature
Miyaoo · 7 games
Batrideroften banned
Miyaoo · 5 games
Sven
dizzying · 5 games
Undyingoften banned
klassnokruto · 5 games
Omniknightoften banned
Arti_Shock · 4 games
Primal Beastoften banned
klassnokruto · 3 games
EZ KATKA
Shadow Fiendsignature
Rvze · 13 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Lefitan · 10 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lukas · 9 games
Marcioften banned
Lefitan · 9 games
Tiny
Lefitan · 9 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Lukas · 8 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Blizzy · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Lefitan · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
613 picks · 460 bans
Marci
459 picks · 670 bans
Dawnbreaker
380 picks · 537 bans
Puck
374 picks · 825 bans
Winter Wyvern
316 picks · 398 bans
Death Prophet
302 picks · 483 bans
Zeus
265 picks · 350 bans
Dazzle
260 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Zorka Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Zorka Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:48
Zorka Gaming 53%EZ KATKA 47%
The model gave 53% on Zorka Gaming — the game was taken by EZ KATKA in 51:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Primal Beastklassnokruto
Shadow FiendRvze
Lifestealerdizzying
Faceless VoidLukas
BatriderMiyaoo
Centaur WarrunnerBlizzy
Vengeful SpiritOneJey
Skywrath MageLefitan
MarciArti_Shock
Game 2prediction missed18:44
Zorka Gaming 53%EZ KATKA 47%
The model gave 53% on Zorka Gaming — the game was taken by EZ KATKA in 33:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Voiddizzying
SlarkLukas
LinaMiyaoo
Shadow FiendRvze
Batriderklassnokruto
BeastmasterBlizzy
MarciOneJey
TerrorbladeLefitan
LichArti_Shock
Model check result
Model favoriteZorka Gaming · 54%
Series resultEZ KATKA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2