BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 1:1series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team SMGloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Team SMG
Enigmasignature
AhFu · 9 games
Banesignature
Poloson · 8 games
Clockwerk
pieliedie · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Moon · 7 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
MidOne · 6 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Moon · 6 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
Moon · 6 games
Pangolieroften banned
Moon · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
613 picks · 462 bans
Marci
458 picks · 672 bans
Dawnbreaker
382 picks · 537 bans
Puck
373 picks · 828 bans
Winter Wyvern
317 picks · 398 bans
Death Prophet
302 picks · 481 bans
Zeus
264 picks · 350 bans
Dazzle
260 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% Team SMG
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total62% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:37
Fnatic 38%Team SMG 62%
The model gave 62% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Team SMG in 35:53.
Game 2prediction correct45:23
Fnatic 38%Team SMG 62%
The model gave 62% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Team SMG in 39:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 62%
Accuracy by game2 of 2