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BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationwin 2:0
series probability
9%91%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
RR · 16 games
38%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Tino- · 16 games
75%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Shanks · 15 games
67%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 13 games
54%
Mars
Marssignature
Tino- · 10 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Tino- · 9 games
56%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Palos · 8 games
75%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Tino- · 8 games
50%

BOOM Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 27 games
63%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 18 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 16 games
56%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 15 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Tims · 15 games
47%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
JaCkky · 14 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 14 games
71%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
615 picks · 463 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
460 picks · 672 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
382 picks · 538 bans
44%
Puck
Puck
372 picks · 831 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
318 picks · 401 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
301 picks · 481 bans
50%
Zeus
Zeus
267 picks · 350 bans
43%
Dazzle
Dazzle
260 picks · 163 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 51%
Hero pool strength51% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total91% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:22
Execration 23%BOOM Esports 77%
The model gave 77% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Execration in 43:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetTino-
50% · 88 games42% · 70 games
MorphlingJaCkky
Morphling
Pudge
PudgePalos
55% · 59 games46% · 116 games
KunkkaYopaj
Kunkka
Puck
PuckBob
56% · 286 games46% · 150 games
DawnbreakerFbz
Dawnbreaker
Earthshaker
EarthshakerShanks
56% · 85 games43% · 122 games
RubickTims
Rubick
52% · 60 games
UndyingSkem
Undying
Game 2prediction missed26:25
Execration 23%BOOM Esports 77%
The model gave 77% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Execration in 37:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingPalos
46% · 130 games53% · 24 games
SlarkJaCkky
Slark
Leshrac
LeshracBob
48% · 78 games54% · 117 games
KunkkaFbz
Kunkka
Enigma
EnigmaTino-
54% · 92 games63% · 19 games
Primal BeastYopaj
Primal Beast
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinShanks
49% · 94 games50% · 69 games
Treant ProtectorTims
Treant Protector
45% · 165 games
Death ProphetSkem
Death Prophet
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 91%
Series resultExecration 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2