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BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team DogChampwin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
5ManMidasloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team DogChamp

Bane
Banesignature
Bloody Nine · 15 games
60%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 12 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
33%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Ryoya · 11 games
64%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernoften banned
yarintheslayer · 8 games
50%
Marci
Marcisignature
yarintheslayer · 7 games
71%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
57%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
StoneBank · 6 games
83%

5ManMidas

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
616 picks · 466 bans
52%
Marci
Marci
459 picks · 675 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
383 picks · 538 bans
44%
Puck
Puck
373 picks · 833 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
319 picks · 402 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
300 picks · 484 bans
50%
Zeus
Zeus
268 picks · 350 bans
43%
Dazzle
Dazzle
260 picks · 163 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 27%
Hero pool strength53% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total59% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:22
Team DogChamp 59%5ManMidas 41%
The model gave 59% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 33:24.
Game 2prediction correct35:10
Team DogChamp 59%5ManMidas 41%
The model gave 59% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 19:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 59%
Series resultTeam DogChamp 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2