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BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGloss 1:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team SMG

Bane
Banesignature
Poloson · 9 games
67%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
AhFu · 8 games
88%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
pieliedie · 7 games
57%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
MidOne · 6 games
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernoften banned
Moon · 6 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Moon · 5 games
60%
Io
Iooften banned
AhFu · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Moon · 5 games
60%

BOOM Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 26 games
65%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 18 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 16 games
56%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 15 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Tims · 15 games
47%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
JaCkky · 14 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 14 games
71%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
617 picks · 474 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
457 picks · 675 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
387 picks · 551 bans
44%
Puck
Puck
379 picks · 833 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
320 picks · 403 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
299 picks · 477 bans
50%
Zeus
Zeus
268 picks · 353 bans
43%
Dazzle
Dazzle
263 picks · 163 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 54%
Hero pool strength51% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 6
Model total57% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:38
Team SMG 46%BOOM Esports 54%
The model gave 54% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 36:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Marci
MarciMidOne
49% · 119 games40% · 65 games
Phantom AssassinJaCkky
Phantom Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMoon
53% · 174 games47% · 45 games
UnderlordFbz
Underlord
Enigma
EnigmaAhFu
50% · 71 game50% · 100 games
BatriderYopaj
Batrider
Silencer
SilencerPoloson
56% · 19 games49% · 72 games
EarthshakerTims
Earthshaker
57% · 101 game
UndyingSkem
Undying
Game 2prediction missed36:18
Team SMG 44%BOOM Esports 56%
The model gave 56% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Team SMG in 42:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Marci
MarciMidOne
50% · 119 games53% · 87 games
MorphlingJaCkky
Morphling
Void Spirit
Void SpiritMoon
41% · 213 games45% · 219 games
MarsYopaj
Mars
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionPoloson
51% · 28 games67% · 54 games
VisageFbz
Visage
Rubick
RubickAhFu
50% · 137 games48% · 70 games
Shadow DemonSkem
Shadow Demon
53% · 67 games
Nyx AssassinTims
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2