BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
SG e-sportswin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Runesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
No Runes
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
618 picks · 476 bans
Marci
460 picks · 675 bans
Dawnbreaker
389 picks · 554 bans
Puck
382 picks · 834 bans
Winter Wyvern
319 picks · 403 bans
Death Prophet
299 picks · 479 bans
Zeus
269 picks · 356 bans
Dazzle
263 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% SG e-sports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total63% SG e-sports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:56
SG e-sports 63%No Runes 37%
The model gave 63% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by No Runes in 55:29.
Game 2prediction correct
SG e-sports 63%No Runes 37%
The model gave 63% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by SG e-sports.
Model check result
Model favoriteSG e-sports · 63%
Series resultSG e-sports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2