BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
TNC Predatorloss 0:2series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hokoriwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TNC Predator
Pangoliersignature
xiaoyu154 · 16 games
Enchantresssignature
cml · 13 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 12 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Bok · 11 games
Puckoften banned
xsilearn · 11 games
Warlocksignature
Roddgeee · 11 games
Batrideroften banned
xsilearn · 10 games
Marcisignature
xiaoyu154 · 10 games
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
619 picks · 478 bans
Marci
461 picks · 678 bans
Dawnbreaker
392 picks · 557 bans
Puck
383 picks · 839 bans
Winter Wyvern
320 picks · 403 bans
Death Prophet
299 picks · 478 bans
Zeus
272 picks · 357 bans
Dazzle
263 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% TNC Predator
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct49:41
TNC Predator 27%Hokori 73%
The model gave 73% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 1:00:12.
Game 2prediction correct12:55
TNC Predator 27%Hokori 73%
The model gave 73% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 34:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 73%
Series resultHokori 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2