BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Lilgunloss 1:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Army Geniusesloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Army Geniuses
Tiny
NARMAN · 17 games
Pangolieroften banned
woMy · 13 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Varizh · 11 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 11 games
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 10 games
Faceless Voidsignature
NARMAN · 8 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 8 games
Marcioften banned
woMy · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
621 picks · 482 bans
Marci
463 picks · 677 bans
Dawnbreaker
397 picks · 559 bans
Puck
389 picks · 839 bans
Winter Wyvern
321 picks · 404 bans
Death Prophet
298 picks · 478 bans
Zeus
274 picks · 360 bans
Enchantress
264 picks · 320 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 35%
Hero pool strength52% Army Geniuses
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total52% Army Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:49
Lilgun 48%Army Geniuses 52%
The model gave 52% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 51:12.
Game 2prediction correct46:29
Lilgun 48%Army Geniuses 52%
The model gave 52% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 43:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteArmy Geniuses · 52%
Accuracy by game2 of 2