BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team DogChamploss 0:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ravenswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team DogChamp
Banesignature
Bloody Nine · 15 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 11 games
Tinysignature
Ryoya · 10 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Fayde · 7 games
Marcisignature
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Medusaoften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
Ravens
Tinysignature
d1smar · 11 games
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 9 games
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 7 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
DaaD- · 7 games
Doomsignature
d1smar · 6 games
Enchantresssignature
Cara · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 5 games
Rubick
d1smar · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
623 picks · 484 bans
Marci
462 picks · 681 bans
Dawnbreaker
399 picks · 563 bans
Puck
392 picks · 842 bans
Winter Wyvern
321 picks · 404 bans
Death Prophet
299 picks · 480 bans
Zeus
274 picks · 360 bans
Dazzle
263 picks · 164 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 53%
Hero pool strength59% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:23
Team DogChamp 40%Ravens 60%
The model gave 60% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 30:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey KingStoneBank
LunaDaaD-
InvokerRCY
BeastmasterBenjaz
TidehunterITALIANO GANGSTA
Void SpiritÑengoflow KELOKE
Keeper of the Lightyarintheslayer
Skywrath Maged1smar
SnapfireBloody Nine
UndyingCara
Game 2prediction correct35:55
Team DogChamp 41%Ravens 59%
The model gave 59% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 47:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaStoneBank
KunkkaDaaD-
BatriderRCY
SlarkÑengoflow KELOKE
EnigmaITALIANO GANGSTA
VisageBenjaz
Tinyyarintheslayer
Marcid1smar
EnchantressBloody Nine
Crystal MaidenCara
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 65%
Series resultRavens 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2