BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
5RATFORCESTAFFloss 1:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Wolf Teamloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
5RATFORCESTAFF
Jakiro
albinozebra · 16 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 13 games
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 9 games
Tiny
Giant · 8 games
Abaddonsignature
albinozebra · 7 games
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dnm · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
red2 · 6 games
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
623 picks · 484 bans
Marci
464 picks · 679 bans
Dawnbreaker
401 picks · 563 bans
Puck
392 picks · 842 bans
Winter Wyvern
321 picks · 404 bans
Death Prophet
299 picks · 479 bans
Zeus
274 picks · 360 bans
Dazzle
263 picks · 164 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 41%
Hero pool strength51% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Wolf Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed57:19
5RATFORCESTAFF 49%Wolf Team 51%
The model gave 51% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 42:34.
Game 2prediction correct27:51
5RATFORCESTAFF 49%Wolf Team 51%
The model gave 51% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Wolf Team in 38:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteWolf Team · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2