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BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationwin 2:0
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TNC Predatorloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Execration

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Tino- · 17 games
71%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Shanks · 15 games
67%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
RR · 13 games
38%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 12 games
58%
Mars
Marssignature
Tino- · 10 games
60%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Palos · 9 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Tino- · 8 games
63%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Shanks · 7 games
57%

TNC Predator

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
xiaoyu154 · 16 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
cml · 13 games
62%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 11 games
36%
Puck
Puckoften banned
xsilearn · 11 games
55%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Roddgeee · 11 games
73%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
xsilearn · 10 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Bok · 10 games
50%
Marci
Marcisignature
xiaoyu154 · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
625 picks · 487 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
466 picks · 681 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
402 picks · 564 bans
44%
Puck
Puck
394 picks · 844 bans
55%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
324 picks · 406 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
297 picks · 479 bans
51%
Zeus
Zeus
275 picks · 362 bans
43%
Enchantress
Enchantress
265 picks · 321 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 38%
Hero pool strength52% Execration
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total62% TNC Predator
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:23
Execration 45%TNC Predator 55%
The model gave 55% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by Execration in 35:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetTino-
55% · 97 games47% · 342 games
TinyYowe
Tiny
Marci
MarciPalos
53% · 302 games44% · 253 games
DawnbreakerBok
Dawnbreaker
Puck
PuckBob
51% · 271 game48% · 188 games
Death Prophetcml
Death Prophet
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinShanks
55% · 113 games
Game 2prediction missed37:25
Execration 44%TNC Predator 56%
The model gave 56% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by Execration in 35:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidPalos
61% · 76 games43% · 96 games
InvokerYowe
Invoker
Death Prophet
Death ProphetBob
45% · 140 games52% · 91 game
UndyingBok
Undying
Visage
VisageTino-
66% · 38 games39% · 116 games
Clockwerkcml
Clockwerk
Earthshaker
EarthshakerShanks
53% · 49 games
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC Predator · 62%
Series resultExecration 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2