BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hokoriwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team SMG
Banesignature
ninjaboogie · 10 games
Enigmasignature
AhFu · 8 games
Clockwerk
pieliedie · 7 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
MidOne · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Moon · 5 games
Iooften banned
AhFu · 5 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
Moon · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
pieliedie · 4 games
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
626 picks · 490 bans
Marci
467 picks · 683 bans
Dawnbreaker
404 picks · 566 bans
Puck
395 picks · 846 bans
Winter Wyvern
327 picks · 406 bans
Death Prophet
298 picks · 478 bans
Zeus
275 picks · 365 bans
Enchantress
265 picks · 320 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 53%
Hero pool strength55% Team SMG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:33
Team SMG 51%Hokori 49%
The model gave 51% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Hokori in 33:16.
Game 2prediction missed17:53
Team SMG 51%Hokori 49%
The model gave 51% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Hokori in 33:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 51%
Series resultHokori 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2