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BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
The Cutwin 2:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
5RATFORCESTAFFloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

The Cut

Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
bgod · 17 games
18%
Marci
Marcioften banned
bgod · 10 games
30%
Techies
Techiessignature
bgod · 10 games
60%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 9 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
high_shaggy · 9 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Jubei · 8 games
25%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Jubei · 8 games
25%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
high_shaggy · 8 games
25%

5RATFORCESTAFF

Jakiro
Jakiro
albinozebra · 16 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 13 games
46%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 9 games
67%
Tiny
Tiny
Giant · 8 games
25%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
albinozebra · 7 games
86%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
43%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dnm · 6 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
red2 · 6 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
628 picks · 494 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
471 picks · 686 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
406 picks · 570 bans
44%
Puck
Puck
397 picks · 850 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
328 picks · 408 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
300 picks · 481 bans
51%
Zeus
Zeus
276 picks · 365 bans
43%
Enchantress
Enchantress
267 picks · 320 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)28% vs 41%
Hero pool strength57% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total52% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
The Cut 48%5RATFORCESTAFF 52%
The model gave 52% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by The Cut.
Game 2prediction missed
The Cut 48%5RATFORCESTAFF 52%
The model gave 52% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by The Cut.
Model check result
Model favorite5RATFORCESTAFF · 52%
Series resultThe Cut 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2