BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
SG e-sportswin 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wolf Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
628 picks · 494 bans
Marci
471 picks · 685 bans
Dawnbreaker
406 picks · 571 bans
Puck
399 picks · 850 bans
Winter Wyvern
328 picks · 408 bans
Death Prophet
301 picks · 482 bans
Zeus
276 picks · 365 bans
Enchantress
267 picks · 320 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% SG e-sports
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total51% Wolf Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
SG e-sports 49%Wolf Team 51%
The model gave 51% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by SG e-sports.
Game 2prediction missed
SG e-sports 49%Wolf Team 51%
The model gave 51% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by SG e-sports.
Model check result
Model favoriteWolf Team · 51%
Series resultSG e-sports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2