BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
SG e-sportswin 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
5ManMidasloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
5ManMidas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
640 picks · 499 bans
Marci
470 picks · 686 bans
Dawnbreaker
412 picks · 577 bans
Puck
406 picks · 855 bans
Winter Wyvern
330 picks · 407 bans
Death Prophet
297 picks · 478 bans
Zeus
277 picks · 375 bans
Enchantress
268 picks · 320 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 31%
Hero pool strength50% SG e-sports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% SG e-sports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:7
SG e-sports 77%5ManMidas 23%
The model gave 77% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by 5ManMidas in 27:34.
Game 2prediction missed35:7
SG e-sports 77%5ManMidas 23%
The model gave 77% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by 5ManMidas in 21:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteSG e-sports · 77%
Series resultSG e-sports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2