Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
EZ KATKAwin 1:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:0
No Bounty Hunterloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
EZ KATKA
Shadow Fiend
Rvze · 12 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Lefitan · 10 games
Marcioften banned
Lefitan · 9 games
Tiny
Lefitan · 9 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lukas · 8 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Lukas · 8 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Lefitan · 7 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
Wuiter · 7 games
No Bounty Hunter
Dazzle
Flash · 8 games
Linaoften banned
Stojkov · 5 games
Puckoften banned
Adzantick · 5 games
Lycanoften banned
kAAN · 4 games
Viperoften banned
Shad · 4 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
kAAN · 3 games
Doomoften banned
kAAN · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Adzantick · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
640 picks · 498 bans
Marci
470 picks · 685 bans
Dawnbreaker
412 picks · 578 bans
Puck
407 picks · 856 bans
Winter Wyvern
330 picks · 407 bans
Death Prophet
297 picks · 479 bans
Zeus
278 picks · 376 bans
Enchantress
266 picks · 319 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 35%
Hero pool strength53% No Bounty Hunter
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total66% EZ KATKA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
EZ KATKA 66%No Bounty Hunter 34%
The model gave 66% on EZ KATKA — the game was taken by EZ KATKA.
Model check result
Model favoriteEZ KATKA · 66%
Series resultEZ KATKA 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1