BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 1:1series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
BOOM Esports
Marssignature
Fbz · 24 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 16 games
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 14 games
Miranasignature
Tims · 14 games
Rubick
Tims · 14 games
Chaos Knightsignature
JaCkky · 13 games
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
642 picks · 500 bans
Marci
471 picks · 688 bans
Dawnbreaker
417 picks · 586 bans
Puck
410 picks · 862 bans
Winter Wyvern
334 picks · 411 bans
Death Prophet
290 picks · 477 bans
Zeus
282 picks · 380 bans
Razor
267 picks · 476 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total62% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:37
Fnatic 38%BOOM Esports 62%
The model gave 62% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 51:35.
Game 2prediction correct32:37
Fnatic 38%BOOM Esports 62%
The model gave 62% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 1:03:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 62%
Accuracy by game2 of 2