BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Feltloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SG e-sportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Felt
Weaveroften banned
Zore · 11 games
Tinysignature
AfrOmoush · 9 games
Death Prophetsignature
solji · 8 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Zore · 6 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
solji · 6 games
Axeoften banned
Zore · 5 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
paradise' · 5 games
Abaddonoften banned
Shoe · 4 games
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
646 picks · 504 bans
Marci
475 picks · 694 bans
Dawnbreaker
418 picks · 590 bans
Puck
414 picks · 868 bans
Winter Wyvern
333 picks · 411 bans
Death Prophet
291 picks · 480 bans
Zeus
284 picks · 382 bans
Enchantress
267 picks · 321 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 25%
Hero pool strength53% SG e-sports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% SG e-sports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:49
Felt 45%SG e-sports 55%
The model gave 55% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by SG e-sports in 46:32.
Game 2prediction correct7:34
Felt 45%SG e-sports 55%
The model gave 55% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by SG e-sports in 23:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteSG e-sports · 55%
Series resultSG e-sports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2