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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamloss 1:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 35 games
51%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 25 games
48%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
мистер мораль · 21 game
52%
Venomancer
Venomancer
Rein · 21 game
57%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 19 games
42%
Kez
Kezsignature
Pure~ · 18 games
72%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Whitemon · 18 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
swedenstrong · 18 games
44%

BETBOOM TEAM

Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 30 games
73%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
gpK~ · 30 games
57%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 30 games
63%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 28 games
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Kataomi · 27 games
70%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 25 games
76%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 25 games
76%
Largo
Largosignature
MieRo · 23 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
486 picks · 336 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
355 picks · 442 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
340 picks · 542 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 481 bans
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
314 picks · 634 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
295 picks · 324 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
284 picks · 205 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
276 picks · 436 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 57%
Hero pool strength58% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total60% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:7
1w Team 43%BETBOOM TEAM 57%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by 1w Team in 38:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightPure~
little data54% · 121 game
Templar AssassinKiritych
Templar Assassin
Lina
Linabzm
57% · 77 games50% · 222 games
Dragon KnightgpK~
Dragon Knight
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner33
50% · 363 games47% · 154 games
LargoMieRo
Largo
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightAri
54% · 132 games45% · 118 games
MiranaSave-
Mirana
Ringmaster
RingmasterWhitemon
47% · 244 games47% · 201 game
BaneKataomi
Bane
Game 2prediction correct11:27
1w Team 45%BETBOOM TEAM 55%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
Linabzm
44% · 73 games46% · 28 games
IoKiritych
Io
Doom
DoomPure~
55% · 259 games55% · 168 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Dark Seer
Dark Seer33
46% · 133 games48% · 195 games
PuckgpK~
Puck
Lion
LionWhitemon
52% · 232 games49% · 304 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterAri
54% · 81 game47% · 83 games
Winter WyvernKataomi
Winter Wyvern
Game 3prediction correct12:36
1w Team 43%BETBOOM TEAM 57%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Io
IoPure~
41% · 53 games52% · 110 games
VipergpK~
Viper
Tidehunter
Tidehunter33
51% · 224 games49% · 149 games
KezKiritych
Kez
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightbzm
50% · 103 games50% · 137 games
LargoMieRo
Largo
Lion
LionAri
54% · 149 games50% · 185 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Undying
UndyingWhitemon
48% · 133 games51% · 81 game
Winter WyvernKataomi
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 60%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3