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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Liquidloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
rue · 41 game
54%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Collapse · 22 games
55%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
rue · 20 games
70%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
not me · 20 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
rue · 19 games
74%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Collapse · 16 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
Collapse · 16 games
69%
Lion
Lionsignature
rue · 16 games
69%

Team Liquid

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 41 game
68%
Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 40 games
65%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 34 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 28 games
64%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 25 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Boxi · 23 games
48%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 22 games
73%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 22 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
485 picks · 335 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
356 picks · 446 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
340 picks · 540 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
318 picks · 486 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
313 picks · 640 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
291 picks · 321 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
281 picks · 207 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
274 picks · 436 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 55%
Hero pool strength51% Team Liquid
Head-to-head9 – 2
Model total56% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:20
Team Spirit 46%Team Liquid 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 49:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetYatoro
49% · 143 games53% · 251 game
Shadow FiendmiCKe
Shadow Fiend
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerCollapse
53% · 293 games49% · 168 games
InvokerNisha
Invoker
Pangolier
PangolierLarl
48% · 221 game49% · 243 games
TimbersawAce
Timbersaw
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernrue
55% · 122 games52% · 134 games
MiranatOfu
Mirana
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonnot me
52% · 223 games41% · 206 games
Dark WillowBoxi
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction missed31:18
Team Spirit 47%Team Liquid 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 43:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeYatoro
48% · 177 games47% · 466 games
TinymiCKe
Tiny
Lina
LinaLarl
54% · 88 games49% · 403 games
PuckNisha
Puck
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerCollapse
54% · 403 games53% · 159 games
LycanAce
Lycan
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkrue
48% · 614 games54% · 214 games
MiranatOfu
Mirana
Clockwerk
Clockwerknot me
48% · 321 game45% · 361 game
WindrangerBoxi
Windranger
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 56%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2