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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxyloss 1:2
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OmaR · 39 games
54%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
GH · 28 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
No!ob · 23 games
43%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
OmaR · 21 game
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 20 games
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
OmaR · 19 games
68%
Dazzle
Dazzle
GH · 18 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
GH · 18 games
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 31 game
74%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 30 games
63%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 29 games
52%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
gpK~ · 29 games
59%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Kataomi · 29 games
72%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 26 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 25 games
76%
Largo
Largosignature
MieRo · 25 games
68%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
486 picks · 336 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
356 picks · 448 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
341 picks · 541 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
318 picks · 488 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
314 picks · 641 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
292 picks · 321 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
282 picks · 208 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
274 picks · 436 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 58%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total66% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:14
Nigma Galaxy 41%BETBOOM TEAM 59%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerSumaiL
53% · 266 games41% · 123 games
LifestealerKiritych
Lifestealer
Huskar
HuskarLorenof
55% · 66 games54% · 204 games
Shadow FiendgpK~
Shadow Fiend
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDavai
53% · 307 games45% · 185 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Mirana
MiranaOmaR
53% · 106 games40% · 154 games
Dark WillowSave-
Dark Willow
Io
IoGH
45% · 36 games57% · 115 games
Winter WyvernKataomi
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction missed27:6
Nigma Galaxy 42%BETBOOM TEAM 58%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 36:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendSumaiL
52% · 373 games49% · 544 games
TinyKiritych
Tiny
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritLorenof
52% · 498 games51% · 438 games
PuckgpK~
Puck
Slardar
SlardarDavai
52% · 345 games46% · 275 games
UnderlordMieRo
Underlord
Mirana
MiranaGH
49% · 147 games51% · 187 games
Keeper of the LightSave-
Keeper of the Light
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanOmaR
47% · 248 games51% · 167 games
UndyingKataomi
Undying
Game 3prediction correct5:21
Nigma Galaxy 42%BETBOOM TEAM 58%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracSumaiL
50% · 117 games42% · 81 game
Naga SirenKiritych
Naga Siren
Lycan
LycanDavai
54% · 110 games48% · 335 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritLorenof
53% · 329 games52% · 80 games
SlarkgpK~
Slark
Mirana
MiranaGH
46% · 94 games55% · 146 games
Keeper of the LightSave-
Keeper of the Light
Ringmaster
RingmasterOmaR
49% · 228 games48% · 236 games
BaneKataomi
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 66%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3