Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
No Sorryseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start
IVYThe prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Sorry
Banesignature
BLACKARXANGEL · 47 games
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 39 games
Tinysignature
Worick · 35 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Worick · 32 games
Hoodwink
y0nd · 30 games
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 26 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 25 games
Enchantressoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 21 game
IVY
Tinysignature
Mo13ei · 35 games
Timbersawsignature
Max · 19 games
Chenoften banned
jmn- · 15 games
Snapfiresignature
Qupe · 14 games
Viperoften banned
Max · 14 games
Clockwerk
Qupe · 13 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 13 games
Mirana
Qupe · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
646 picks · 502 bans
Marci
475 picks · 692 bans
Dawnbreaker
418 picks · 590 bans
Puck
414 picks · 866 bans
Winter Wyvern
333 picks · 411 bans
Death Prophet
291 picks · 479 bans
Zeus
284 picks · 382 bans
Enchantress
267 picks · 321 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 41%
Hero pool strength51% IVY
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 56%