Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Anime Enjoyerswin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Zorka Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Anime Enjoyers
Marcioften banned
sunset · 4 games
Morphlingoften banned
Coblackk · 4 games
Earth Spirit
sunset · 3 games
Shadow Fiend
Ulnit · 3 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Coblackk · 2 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
sunset · 2 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Ulnit · 2 games
Rubick
sunset · 2 games
Zorka Gaming
Tinysignature
OneJey · 6 games
Linaoften banned
Miyaoo · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
Arti_Shock · 4 games
Sven
dizzying · 4 games
Omniknightoften banned
Arti_Shock · 3 games
Primal Beastoften banned
klassnokruto · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
Pudge
dizzying · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
646 picks · 505 bans
Marci
474 picks · 695 bans
Dawnbreaker
419 picks · 594 bans
Puck
417 picks · 873 bans
Winter Wyvern
334 picks · 412 bans
Death Prophet
291 picks · 478 bans
Zeus
286 picks · 384 bans
Enchantress
268 picks · 322 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 71%
Hero pool strength59% Zorka Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Zorka Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:28
Anime Enjoyers 49%Zorka Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Zorka Gaming — the game was taken by Anime Enjoyers in 36:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaUlnit
Faceless Voiddizzying
Marcisunset
KunkkaMiyaoo
51% · 31 game
Phoenixklassnokruto
50% · 189 games
TinyOneJey
49% · 43 games
HoodwinkArti_Shock
Game 2prediction missed44:27
Anime Enjoyers 48%Zorka Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Zorka Gaming — the game was taken by Anime Enjoyers in 36:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendUlnit
Kunkkadizzying
Marcisunset
BatriderMiyaoo
70% · 26 games
Visageklassnokruto
50% · 158 games
TinyOneJey
39% · 24 games
Crystal MaidenArti_Shock
Model check result
Model favoriteZorka Gaming · 52%
Series resultAnime Enjoyers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2