BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Neon Esportsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Neon Esports
Snapfire
Se · 11 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Enryu · 10 games
Shadow Shaman
ChuaN · 10 games
Earthshaker
PlayHard · 9 games
Clockwerk
ChuaN · 8 games
Chenoften banned
Se · 7 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Enryu · 7 games
Enchantressoften banned
Se · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
648 picks · 506 bans
Marci
475 picks · 696 bans
Dawnbreaker
420 picks · 596 bans
Puck
417 picks · 876 bans
Winter Wyvern
335 picks · 413 bans
Death Prophet
290 picks · 478 bans
Zeus
287 picks · 385 bans
Razor
269 picks · 483 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 21%
Hero pool strength57% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:25
Hokori 67%Neon Esports 33%
The model gave 67% on Hokori — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 50:05.
Game 2prediction missed24:12
Hokori 67%Neon Esports 33%
The model gave 67% on Hokori — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 26:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 67%
Accuracy by game0 of 2