BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticloss 1:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Hokoriloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
647 picks · 505 bans
Marci
473 picks · 697 bans
Dawnbreaker
421 picks · 597 bans
Puck
416 picks · 876 bans
Winter Wyvern
335 picks · 413 bans
Death Prophet
289 picks · 475 bans
Zeus
288 picks · 385 bans
Razor
269 picks · 484 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 54%
Hero pool strength50% Fnatic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:14
Fnatic 42%Hokori 58%
The model gave 58% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 40:04.
Game 2prediction correct30:12
Fnatic 42%Hokori 58%
The model gave 58% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 41:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 58%
Accuracy by game2 of 2