BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team DogChamploss 1:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:1
SG e-sportsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team DogChamp
Bane
Bloody Nine · 16 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 13 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 11 games
Tinysignature
Ryoya · 11 games
Winter Wyvernoften banned
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Crystal Maiden
Bloody Nine · 7 games
Marcisignature
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Medusaoften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
653 picks · 509 bans
Marci
473 picks · 704 bans
Dawnbreaker
425 picks · 604 bans
Puck
418 picks · 880 bans
Winter Wyvern
338 picks · 414 bans
Zeus
289 picks · 386 bans
Death Prophet
287 picks · 478 bans
Razor
270 picks · 484 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 26%
Hero pool strength53% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:32
Team DogChamp 62%SG e-sports 38%
The model gave 62% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 44:51.
Game 2prediction missed18:34
Team DogChamp 62%SG e-sports 38%
The model gave 62% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by SG e-sports in 33:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 62%
Accuracy by game1 of 2