BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Execrationwin 2:0series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hokoriloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Execration
Dragon Knightsignature
Tino- · 17 games
Miranasignature
Shanks · 15 games
Death Prophetoften banned
RR · 12 games
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 11 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Palos · 11 games
Kunkkasignature
Palos · 9 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Shanks · 8 games
Tinysignature
Bob · 8 games
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
652 picks · 517 bans
Marci
476 picks · 707 bans
Dawnbreaker
432 picks · 606 bans
Puck
424 picks · 884 bans
Winter Wyvern
340 picks · 418 bans
Zeus
290 picks · 391 bans
Death Prophet
286 picks · 475 bans
Razor
273 picks · 487 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 56%
Hero pool strength56% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Execration 17%Hokori 83%
The model gave 83% on Hokori — the game was taken by Execration.
Game 2prediction missed
Execration 17%Hokori 83%
The model gave 83% on Hokori — the game was taken by Execration.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 83%
Series resultExecration 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2