BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticwin 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Lilgunloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
652 picks · 520 bans
Marci
476 picks · 705 bans
Dawnbreaker
437 picks · 607 bans
Puck
426 picks · 889 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 417 bans
Zeus
291 picks · 393 bans
Death Prophet
284 picks · 473 bans
Razor
274 picks · 490 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 36%
Hero pool strength50% Fnatic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:32
Fnatic 83%Lilgun 17%
The model gave 83% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Lilgun in 25:44.
Game 2prediction missed29:14
Fnatic 83%Lilgun 17%
The model gave 83% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Lilgun in 29:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 83%
Series resultFnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2